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Analysis blog and profits update – Scandinavian Mixed and The Palmetto Championship

Hello again,

we made a profit of 31 points last week. That takes up to a cumulative 59.5 points profit for 2021 to date.

Sam Horsfield was joint first round leader at 28/1 in Sweden, where Adrian Otaegui at 8/1 three putted the final hole to turn an in play win into a place. Garrick Higgo landed our in play bet at 16/1 in South Carolina. Brooks Koepka and Kevin Kisner missed the cut at Palmetto. Tyrrell Hatton came up one stroke short of a play off at The Palmetto.

Our analysis of both tournaments is detailed below. Please read on.


Scandinavian Mixed

The ladies tour showed up well against the men in Sweden. Alice Hewson of England finished a very creditable third place amongst many good shows from the ladies. But the event was won by the 37 year old Northern Irishman, Jonathan Caldwell, who gained his maiden win on tour. It did look as if our in play pick of Adrian Otaegui was going to win the tournament as he hit a monster drive down the final hole. However his approach shot was errant, his chip on was not that good and then he three putted. So not even a place in a play off!

In a weakened field, top ten finishes from – Scott Hend, James Morrison, JB Hansen, Alex Bjork, Matahiro Kawamura, joint overnight leader Jason Scrivener and tour stalwart David Drysdale. Scrivener blew his chances with a 73 on Sunday.

The first round leader and pre start favourite Sam Horsfield faded after leading after round one. So we identified what would happen there correctly. He tied 25th place with Ashley Chesters (76 on Sunday), Jacques Kruyswijk, Matthew Southgate, Wil Besseling and joint event host Henrik Stenson. Joost Luiten was gong well until the weekend came. His opening 67 and then 65 was ruined by a 78 and a 75. Jamie Donaldson was going OK until Sunday when he carded an 80.

Those missing the cut included –¬† Maverick Antcliff, who was going well last week until the final round; an out of form Adri Arnaus; a very out of form Alejandro Canizares; Darius Van Driel – who was runner up last week but struggled here and a poor effort from Nicolai Hojgaard.

I have not gone into any detail on the performance of the ladies, many of whom performed well. This is because we do not bet on their tour and so the time would be wasted.


The Palmetto Championship

Was won by the 22 year old South African sensation Garrick Higgo. He held his nerve on Sunday while others were throwing away their chance with errant play into the various sand hazards around the course. The overnight leader Chesson Hadley threw away his four shot lead with some awful golf on the final few holes. He did finish tied second in the end with Doc Redman, Jhonny Vegas, Tyrrell Hatton and a rejuvenated Bo Van Pelt. Hatton should have won this one but his putting let him down in rounds one and four. Higgo has now won on five separate tours, including three times on the European tour. He now looks destined to spend his future on the USPGA tour and potential stardom awaits.

In a tie for eighth place was Dustin Johnson. He was coming with a run on Sunday and closed to two strokes off the lead. But then he triple bogeyed the sixteenth hole to blow it! DJ hit a number of errant shots this week and did not putt well. Harris English then looked set to catch Hadley but was dreadful over the final three holes and dropped to a tie for fourteenth place. One of those tied with English was Wilco Nienaber, who ruined his chances with a 74 on saturday.

Ian Poulter struggled a bit and could only manage a tied twenty fifth place. Tommy Fleetwood had another tough week, as did Sungjae Im in a weak field. Both made the top fifty here. Matt Fitzpatrick finished well on Sunday but was never near the lead on a course that was expected to suit him.

Those missing the cut included – Course ambassador Kevin Kisner; Brooks Koepka ( Brooks played OK on Thursday but could not sink a putt. He did try to rally on Friday but hovered around the cut line. I think that he then managed an exit so that he could leave for Torrey Pines early) and Keith Mitchell, who never got it going.

So, a nice little tournament at a good course. The tour should come here again.

Off to Torrey Pines now!


Good luck Martin