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Analysis blog and results update – The Memorial Tournament and The Porsche European Open

Hi,

we made a profit of 14.25 points last week . Max Homa placed at 100/1 and Patrick Cantlay landed our in play bet in Ohio. Matthew Southgate part placed re our in play bet in Hamburg. We are 28.5 points in profit for 2021 to date.

I have given my views on both tournaments below and what we can take out of them.

 

The Memorial Tournament

After the third round Jon Rahm led by six strokes after carding a 64. He was set to canter to a comfortable win on Sunday. However he tested positive for Covid 19 and had to withdraw. Most bookmakers did pay out on Rahm but he was a loser for punters on the exchanges. That left Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa, who were three strokes back to become joint favourites. Both of them struggled tee to green on Sunday and their chipping and putting saved them from a bad final round. They resisted the challenge of Scottie Scheffler, that dissipated over the final few holes, and went in to a play off.

Cantlay won the play off at the first extra hole with a par, which summed up Sundays play from the top two. He retained the title he won in 2019, albeit it a shallow win after Rahm’s withdraw.

Scheffler hung on for third place two strokes back . Branden Grace, who is in a good run of form, finished a clear fourth, one further stroke behind. Patrick Reed had another good weekend after a sticky start to finish fifth. Reed is getting too far behind in rounds one and two to contend to win lately.

Then in a tie for sixth place were – a rejuvenated Jimmy Walker, who carded a 65 on Sunday; Shane Lowry, who continued his good run of form without winning; Max Homa, who landed a 100/1 place for us. Homa started well on Sunday and was two strokes off the lead after eight holes. But a double bogey derailed him and then he dropped another stroke. He did then rally with his short game to avoid dropping out of the places.

Two other top ten finishers – Aaron Wise and Si Woo Kim, who finished as top Asian .

Top twenty finishers included – Ricky Fowler, who at last is showing some good form; Xander Schauffele, who made too many errors to win, despite the quality of his golf game; Bryson DeChambeau, who never really got anything going here; Rory McIlroy, who was steady but poor for the ability he has; Louis Oosthuizen, warming up for the U.S.Open; Jordan Speith, much hyped but not at his best.

Other golfers to note – Tony Finau, not playing well and finishing in a tie for 32nd place. Rafa Cabrero Bello, who generally plays well but blows it with one poor round each week, this time a 78 on saturday. Justin Thomas, well out of form and in a tie for 42nd place. Viktor Hovland struggling and finishing in a tie for 47th place. The Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama had a bad week, especially with the putter and finished in a tie for 62nd place. Finally, Billy Horschel remains well out of form and finished thirteen over par.

Those golfers missing the cut included – Sungjae Im again; Cam Smith, whose great recent run appears to have come to an end; Keegan Bradley, who has also been in good form until now; Gary Woodland, who has lost his way after the USPGA Championship; Joachin Niemann; Matt Fitzpatrick, on a course that should have suited him; Matt Wallace again. Bubba Watson, Matt Kuchar and Cameron Champ withdrew when the storm halted round two .

So, a fortunate win for Cantlay on a course he likes. Jon Rahm did look in red hot form and will likely get some practice in this week for the U.S.Open despite being in isolation. Collin Morikawa looks a big talent and when he gets his game at B+ or better then everyone else must fear him.

 

Porsche European Open

Marcus Armitage blitzed the course on Monday with a 7 under par round to win by two strokes and gain his maiden win on the tour. Marcus got shaky over the final few holes but the chasing pack were the same and so he got there for an emotional win.

Our in play selection Matthew Southgate had a chance to get in to a play off with Armitage with a birdie on the par five eighteenth. However he drove in to the water and blew it and dropped in to a joint tie for second place. In that tie were – Thomas Detry, who played OK and may have won this one if it was over the normal four rounds; Eduardo Molinari, who is playing well of late without putting well enough to win; Darius van Driel of The Netherlands, but he played too cautiously on Monday and did not make enough effort to catch the winner.

There was then a gap to the rest of the field in what was a weak tournament in regard to the standard of golf and the golfers. Our initial selection Jordan Smith finished in a tie for 11th place, six strokes off the winner. Tied with him were the big hitting Ryan Fox, Joost Luiten who is still struggling to get his best game back, Dale Whitnell of England, Sean Crocker of the U.S. and Ranato Paratore of Italy and last but not least the third round leader Aussie Maverick Antcliff.

Other golfers to note – Laurie Canter, who had shown some form recently but finished at one over par here. Thorbjorn Olesen was out of sorts at two over par. Bernd Wiesberger, who won easily last week but showed his inconsistencies by finishing two over par in a tournament he could have easily been expected to win. Matthias Schwab, another weak performance. Paul Casey, who played OK in snatches but was never in this one. Rasmus Hojgaard, still off his game.

Those golfers missing the cut after two rounds included – Abraham Ancer, who collected a nice appearance fee and then was able to fly back to the States a day early and practice for the U.S.Open. Henrik Stenson, well off his best game and Nino Bertasio of Italy, who is either good or bad.

You do have to forgive golfers on the European Tour, as the general standard of golfers is far below what you would find on the USPGA version.

 

All the best Martin.