Analysis of The Dubai Desert Classic and The Farmers Insurance Open

No video this week…just a sad tale for us and for Bryson De Chambeau, who had a share of the lead in Dubai with four holes to play at 25/1, only to blow up dramatically and crash and burn!

Read our analysis below of what happened and what we can take out of last weeks’ action.

 

 

In Dubai in The Omega Desert Classic, Lucas Herbert beat Christian Bezuidenhout in a play off to claim the title. Our 30 point result on De Chambeau went very sadly astray when he blew up over the final four holes when sharing the lead with two par fives still to be played. On each of the four holes BDC put his tee shot in to deep rough. On the 17th he took three chips to move ten yards when trying to put his ball on the green. On the final hole, after putting his drive into deep rough BDC decided that he could hole his second shot from 262 yards over water to force a play off. However he hit the ball straight in to the lake to incur a penalty shot and then play another shot on to the green. having putting moderately all round BDC could only achieve a part share of eighth place.

No one feels these type of losses more than me as a full time tipster and sports bettor . These type of happenings cost us many points of potential profit. Our other bet in Dubai was Bernd Weisberger, who missed the cut after performing well the previous week in Abu Dhabi. Going forward we need to be aware of this trait in Weisberger. He will win tournaments in 2020 but maybe not after playing well in the previous week?

Tommy Fleetwood played well after a hard week previously. However he faded in the final round to record a 75 on a hard day for most. Tommy is a top player and will contend in the big events in 2020.

Those who failed to get it across the line – Tom Lewis was in contention going in to the final round but carded a 75. Kurt Kitiyama did the same, although as he won twice on tour in 2019 we can give him the benefit of the doubt. Shane Lowry keeps getting put up for tournaments but again did not contend at the finish with a finishing 74. Victor Perez had a wretched 79 to drop down the field. Martin Kaymer finished with a 69 when the pressure was off as he was out of contention. These guys need to deliver at the business end of tournaments and so will be avoided until they can.

Credit to both of the guys in the play off. Both are good young players with a future.

 

Over in San Diego at  in The Farmers Insurance Open Mark Leishmann made the most of John Rahm and Rory McIlroy dropping a number of shots early in their final rounds, to claim the title. Leishmann carded a final round 65 to hang on by one stroke from Rahm and Rory, who did get it going but too late. Rory put in a 73 in round two to put himself back in the field. Until he cuts this out of his game he is not worth backing at a short price. Rahm continues to impress as the top player around at present despite his dropped shots over the first few holes. He did have a putt for an eagle on the final hole to force a play off.

Players to note from this week in San Diego – Tom Hoge finished fifth, which is excellent for a rookie who went off at 150/1. Bubba Watson came back to to form to finish tied sixth. We shall be looking for him to contend in The Masters come April time. Charlie Hoffman finished with a 65 when out of contention. Tiger played solidly to be joint ninth and can still contend when the Majors come around. Jason Day managed a top twenty finish and can hopefully get back in to contending form.

Both of our bets in San Diego fared badly, both missing the cut. There were no signs of it and both players had been in decent form. However Xander Schauffele and Justin Rose both put up a poor show.

So a losing week for us. This week we are off to Saudi Arabia on the final leg of the middle east swing on the European Tour. On The USPGA Tour we are off to The Waste Management Open in Phoenix, Arizona. So both tournaments will be played in a desert environment.

We press on in our goal of 100 points profit in the calendar year.

 

Thanks Martin