it is looking a two horse race between Thomas Pieters and Matthieu Pavon down in Villamoura. They have a four stroke lead over Lucas Bjerregaard, with Kristoffer Broberg a further stroke back.
However I can see one of the joint leaders faltering and, at 14/1 and two places, I can see Lucas Bjerregaard catching at least one of them. Therefore the bet is as below.
Good luck Martin